Monday, May 30, 2011

Road to the 2010-2011 NBA Finals & Series Prediction

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With both the Western and Eastern Conference Finals coming to a conclusion this past week, the table is now set for the NBA Finals which will feature the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat. While most critics are calling it a rematch of the 2006 NBA Finals which saw the Shaq led Heat overcome a 0-2 deficit to bring Miami their first and only Larry O'Brien Trophy, I wouldn't call it a sequel given the new faces. Since their '06 showdown, both teams have underwent makeovers as only two players from each team have stuck around -- Dwayne Wade and Udonis Haslem in Miami and Dirk Nowitzki and Jason Terry in Dallas.
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While the cast of superstars featured in the series will be a good one, the storyline of how both teams got here is just as good. Out west, the Mavs' well-seasoned veterans played a key role in defeating a Portland Trailblazers squad that caught fire after acquiring Gerald Wallace from Charlotte before the trade deadline. Next Dallas made a trip to the Staples Center where they disposed of the back-to-back defending world champion Los Angeles Lakers in a 4-game sweep. Finally they toed off against a young but very talented Oklahoma City Thunder squad that was unable to find an answer for Dirk Nowitzki who logged one of the best games in Postseason history by torching OKC for 48 points including a perfect 24-for-24 performance from the free-throw line in Game 1. Dallas would eventually close out the series in 5 games.
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Following the diva-like antics the Miami Heat made prior the season starting when they formed their All-Star caliber line-up, anything less than a NBA Finals appearance would be a disappointment. However, LeBron and company have only accomplished half of what they set out to achieve. Facing up against an inexperienced Philadelphia 76ers squad, Miami took the series in 5 games, making their way to the Conference Semifinals. Round 2 against the defending Eastern Conference Champion Boston Celtics which was projected by many to be their most challenging task would prove to be otherwise as Miami manhandled the elderly Celtics who seemed to be expiring faster than a carton of milk. With two steps of the way there, the Heat would then take their talents to Chi town to face off against a Bulls team that boasted the best record in the NBA and swept them in all three regular season meetings.
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But after being bullied by the same team in the regular season, the Bulls would experience a twist of fate as Chicago instead found themselves being the ones bullied. After taking Game 1 at home in the windy city, the Bulls were dissected, enduring back-to-back heart wrenching losses where they failed to hang on to a fourth quarter lead including a 12 point debacle in the deciding Game 5. With Carlos Boozer who was acquired by Chicago in the offseason to be the go-to-man of Derrick Rose, the former Utah Jazz All-Star instead played like an an absolute shadow of last year's Boozer as he played no factor in the series what so ever. Boozer along with the rest of the Bulls' lack of production forced the league's MVP to try and do it all by himself, only to come up short as Miami rallied to outscore Chicago 18-to-3 in the final 3 minutes to take the series 4 games to 1.
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While the Heat are coming off of 4 consecutive wins over a team that had not lost three straight games all year, the Mavs are winners of 10 of their last 11 games and are coming off of two straight impressive come from behind wins of their own. Having been virtually unstoppable this postseason and nearly unguardable, will we see LeBron try his luck on another former MVP in Nowitzki? Though James was successful when guarding the much smaller D.Rose, trying to contain the 7-foot Dirk will be a much more daunting task given his size advantage over LeBron. Regardless of who's guarding who, the series should be a good one which could easily go either way and the distance.
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Prediction: Though I wouldn't rule out any chances of the series going all seven games, I'm predicting the Mavs in six. With two future Hall of Famers in Jason Kidd and Dirk Nowitzki yet to win a ring, what a story book ending it would be to the careers of both players if they were to bring Dallas and Mavs owner Mark Cuban their first ever Larry O'Brien Trophy.
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Both teams look to take the hardwood in Miami at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday on ABC.

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